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Australian currency and forex
Where the Aussie dollar is headed, and why it matters.
AUD forecasts, RBA policy analysis, and practical currency risk guidance for Australian businesses trading internationally.
What we cover
- AUD/USD, AUD/EUR, and cross-rate analysis
- RBA interest rate decisions and commentary
- Currency hedging for importers and exporters
- Global macro trends affecting the AUD
What you can expect
- Weekly AUD forecasts with clear reasoning
- Plain-English explainers on monetary policy
- Practical guides on managing FX exposure
- Coverage of what moves markets in our region
Latest posts
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AUD-Commodity Correlation Is Weakening: What Changed and What It Means
The Australian dollar's traditional correlation with commodity prices has declined markedly since 2022. Several structural factors explain this shift.
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Technical Analysis in Forex: What Works, What Doesn't, and Why Retail Traders Lose
Technical analysis is simultaneously useful and dangerously misleading for forex trading. Here's what the research shows about what actually predicts currency movements.
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AUD Weakness Against Major Currencies Is Continuing
The Australian dollar has declined against the USD, EUR, and GBP in early 2026. Here's what's driving the weakness and what it means for different sectors.
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Crypto Stablecoins Are Competing With Traditional Forex (Sort Of)
Stablecoins now process billions in cross-border payments daily. They're not replacing forex markets, but they're creating parallel infrastructure that matters.
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Algorithmic Forex Trading for Retail Traders: Expectations vs Reality
Algorithmic trading platforms promise automated profits in forex markets. Here's what retail traders actually experience, and why the gap between marketing and reality is so wide.
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Position Sizing Mistakes That Blow Up Retail Forex Accounts
Most retail forex accounts fail not because of bad trade ideas but because of poor position sizing. Common mistakes and how to calculate risk properly.
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Trading AUD Volatility: Strategies That Work for Retail Traders
The Australian dollar's volatility patterns create opportunities for retail forex traders. Here are approaches that actually work without requiring institutional resources.
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Australian Dollar Long-Term Outlook: Structural Headwinds Through 2027
Short-term AUD movements respond to data releases and sentiment. But structural factors suggest continued weakness over the next 12-18 months.
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RBA April Rate Decision Preview: What the Data Is Telling Us
With the April board meeting approaching, markets are split on whether the RBA holds or cuts. Here's what the economic indicators suggest and where the risks lie.
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AUD Forecast Q2 2026: What the Data Says
The Australian dollar faces a complex Q2 with rate cut expectations, commodity price shifts, and USD dynamics all pulling in different directions. Here's the analysis.
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AUD/CNY: How Trade Tensions Are Reshaping the Pair
The Australian dollar's relationship with the Chinese yuan is shifting as trade patterns change and geopolitical tensions affect currency policy. Here's what traders need to watch.
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RBA Forward Guidance: The Credibility Problem
The Reserve Bank's recent forward guidance on rate paths has repeatedly proven inaccurate. This erodes credibility and makes currency positioning more difficult.
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AUD Volatility Patterns: Seasonal Factors and Calendar Effects
How seasonal patterns and calendar effects influence Australian dollar volatility throughout the year. What traders should know about timing and risk management.
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RBA Inflation Targeting Framework: Potential Changes and AUD Implications
The Reserve Bank's inflation targeting framework is under review. What changes might emerge, how they could affect monetary policy decisions, and what it means for the Australian dollar.
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AUD/NZD Cross Rate: Trading Strategies That Work
The AUD/NZD pair is one of the quieter crosses, but it offers consistent opportunities if you understand the drivers.